Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223715           6          47          42           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000737854          24          41          28           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   1.17000e-07           8          57          33           2           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            13.50       52.50       29.75        4.25        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7