Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223054           6          50          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741156          22          43          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   7.99000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            16.25       52.75       26.25        4.75        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3