Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223945           5          47          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000755383          18          42          31           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.19000e-07           8          57          34           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.75       50.00       34.75        5.50        0.00     B6.7
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9