Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225450           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000803583          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.29000e-07           4          36          51           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             7.00       45.25       40.00        7.75        0.00     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1