Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224204           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000763860          13          44          36           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   2.00000e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             7.00       46.75       40.25        6.00        0.00     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      B9.4