Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225581           6          43          42           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000780533          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.65000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.00       38.75       47.75        7.00        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)