Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226796           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812737          11          44          38           7           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.86000e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             4.75       32.50       53.25        8.75        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4