Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230503           2          20          58          17           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000864669           6          43          42           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   3.73000e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.75       20.50       61.75       14.00        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9