Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223950           5          47          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000760752          12          42          38           8           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   1.55000e-07          10          63          23           4           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            10.00       52.25       32.25        5.50        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1