Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224259           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000784932          12          49          33           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.35000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             7.75       54.50       33.00        4.75        0.00     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4