Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222500           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000740210          22          42          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   9.17000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.00       48.00       26.50        4.50        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9