Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224059           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000761586          12          42          38           8           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   9.83000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            11.50       52.50       31.25        4.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5