Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225661           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796303          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.39000e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             8.25       51.25       35.00        5.50        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5