Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225081           6          43          46           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787104          12          47          36           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.34000e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.25       51.75       35.75        4.25        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)