Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224318           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000772949          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.14000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       52.00       34.25        5.00        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.2