Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224289           4          51          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000772881          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.23000e-07           8          60          32           0           0        B5.7
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            11.25       53.75       31.25        3.75        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.8