Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223663           6          48          41           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000766112          14          43          35           8           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.50       51.50       34.25        5.75        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      B4.0