Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223764           6          47          42           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000761029          12          42          38           8           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   1.03000e-07           6          59          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             7.75       49.00       37.25        6.00        0.00     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B3.8