Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223244           6          52          35           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000753705          18          42          31           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   7.91000e-08           8          69          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            11.25       55.00       28.25        5.50        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.6