Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223115           6          51          36           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000748656          19          43          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   7.78000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             4          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.25       50.50       23.75        4.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)