Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223049           6          50          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741993          23          42          28           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   8.28000e-08           6          65          26           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.50       49.25       25.00        4.25        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B3.9