Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222578           6          47          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000730720          26          47          21           6           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   6.73000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.50       50.50       21.50        3.50        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.8