Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221667           5          47          40           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000707341          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.11000e-08          23          62          14           1           0        B2.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.50       49.25       21.25        3.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2