Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225141           6          43          45           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000779633          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.38000e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            10.50       55.00       30.25        4.25        0.00     B6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1