Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227827           3          32          56           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000838884           5          49          37           9           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   2.00000e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             4.00       43.25       45.25        7.25        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B9.4