Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225707           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000810226          10          44          40           6           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   1.68000e-07          12          54          28           6           0        B7.1
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             8.25       48.75       35.25        7.75        0.00     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.1