Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227715           3          34          53          10           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825540           6          44          41           9           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   2.51000e-07           4          35          51          10           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             4.75       40.75       45.50        9.00        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2