Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221444           6          42          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000698555          24          52          20           4           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   5.99000e-08          23          63          13           1           0        B1.9
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.00       49.25       21.25        3.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)