Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221068           7          44          40           9           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000688506          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.96000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            18.25       54.25       23.50        4.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)