Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221307           7          40          43          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000691236          22          55          19           4           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   5.73000e-08          30          62           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            22.00       52.00       22.00        4.00        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9