Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229746           1          21          60          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851139           7          50          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.62000e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.50       24.25       58.75       12.25        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6