Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225125           6          43          45           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791273          14          48          33           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.55000e-07          10          63          23           4           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             8.50       44.25       40.75        6.00        0.50     B9.4
 
realized                                                                                      B8.4