Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224848           6          46          44           4           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787290          12          47          36           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.35000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             7.25       45.50       42.00        4.50        0.75     B9.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4