Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223362           6          51          37           6           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000765206          14          44          35           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.13000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             7.00       44.50       41.50        6.25        0.75     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1