Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223025           5          51          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000750255          19          40          34           7           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   8.53000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             9.25       50.50       34.25        6.00        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3