Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222987           5          50          38           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746324          20          41          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   8.01000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             9.50       51.00       32.75        6.75        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)