Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222804           4          48          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000740085          23          41          29           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.98000e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.50       49.25       25.00        4.25        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)