Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222727           5          47          40           8           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000728001          28          49          18           5           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.88000e-08           5          65          27           3           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            11.00       53.25       30.00        5.75        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0