Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223073           6          50          37           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000736891          25          41          27           7           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            11.25       49.75       32.75        6.25        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6