Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229410           1          22          61          15           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833739           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.99000e-07           3          20          70           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.00       27.50       59.00        9.75        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B6.1