Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228887           2          23          64          10           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833034           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.98000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       31.75       56.00        8.00        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B9.1