Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225918           5          37          47          11           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796702          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.81000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             8.25       44.25       39.50        8.00        0.00     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.2