Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224911           6          46          43           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000778468          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.51000e-07          10          61          27           2           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            11.00       53.75       31.00        4.25        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.4