Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224168           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000771835          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.36000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             8.50       53.00       32.75        5.75        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6