Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224052           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000768539          14          45          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.14000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             7.75       50.00       36.75        5.50        0.00     B7.2
 
realized                                                                                      B8.3