Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224244           5          50          40           5           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000766923          14          43          35           8           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   1.25000e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             7.50       44.75       41.75        5.50        0.50     B9.2
 
realized                                                                                      B7.9