Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224201           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000768659          14          45          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.02000e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            19.00       48.50       28.50        4.00        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9