Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223188           6          52          35           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000748675          19          43          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   8.10000e-08           6          70          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.75       55.00       29.25        6.00        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8