Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224837           6          46          44           4           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000760982          12          42          38           8           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   1.82000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             7.75       46.50       38.00        7.75        0.00     B8.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7