Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224940           7          44          44           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000760353          13          42          37           8           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.20000e-07           8          57          35           0           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            10.75       50.50       34.75        4.00        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B7.5